SYRIA: THE SENSE OF DONALD TRUMP OR

THE OTHER GEOPOLITAN ANALYSIS

However, what is important to remember is that it was from Syria that Donald Trump, first decided to withdraw, announcing the next day the withdrawal from Afghanistan.

But why build a link between the US presence in Afghanistan and Syria?

Donald Trump signed on December 23 the decree of withdrawal of the American troops from Syria, while giving himself 100 days to prepare this departure. Late Sunday night (23/12/2018) the US President indeed tweeted: "our troops are coming home! Adding that "this withdrawal would be slow and coordinated" ... and for good reason, we will see later ...

The entire international community has been speechless about this decision, which has been troubling US allies. But the US President's decision also provoked a shock, internally, in the United States itself, a shock such as this, led to the early resignation of the Secretary of Defense, General Jim Mattis and the envoy for the coalition international anti-Jihadist Brett McGurk, both opposed the withdrawal.

At the moment of these crucial decisions at the end of the year 2018, everyone immediately wondered who they would benefit from, and who, on the other hand, would be wronged because some dominoes will fall one after the other.

First of all, in our view, they are going to benefit the Americans themselves, the disappointed American, who are dissatisfied with the policies that have been in place since the end of the Cold War, policies that have not been successful despite the deployment of forces (military in particular) and considerable financial resources. Among American citizens, this decision will also and above all satisfy the electorate of Donald Trump who was waiting for the fulfillment of his campaign promises.

They will also benefit, perhaps, to the citizens of the world, the Syrian conflict being likely for many months, the slightest collision, more risky than the others, to lead to a globalized war (spread so far thanks to cold blood of Vladimir Putin and the good agreement between Washington and the Kremlin right now?).

Winning countries:

Russia (and its satellite state, Kazakhstan), China which since 2010 increasingly oppose their vetoes to the UN, but Iran too.

China and Russia had opposed their vets for several years at the UN because they were unhappy with what was happening in Central Asia.

Explanation! The main reason for the war in Afghanistan was to exclude China from a political equation that could link it to Iran, its long-time ally, from which it is separated by Tajikistan. The war in Afghanistan and its corollary, the US occupation, had the additional objective of controlling the oil and gas tap that came from Kazakhstan (rich in hydrocarbons). The pipelines go from Kazakhstan to India via Pakistan and then to China. These pipelines could be an alternative to supply China and India unable to obtain supplies in Iran in the event of war and the closure of the Straits. 'Ormuz (under the control of Iran).

From Kazakhstan, another pipeline crosses the Caspian Sea via Azerbaijan to head via Syria to the oil port of Ceyhan in the far south of Turkey, a few kilometers from the Syrian-Turkish border and beyond in Europe.

So what will happen concretely now after these decisions: the Resistance in Lebanon, Syria (liberated) Iraq, (partly liberated even if there is still an American presence), Iran, Afghanistan , Tajikistan and China will together form a direct line on the Mediterranean. China is a big winner.

Russia had already, via the Black Sea, since the Georgian affair of 2006 and the annexation of Crimea, access to the Mediterranean. It will nevertheless strengthen it, without having to cross all of Turkey systematically. The relations of Vladimir Putin with President Erdogan not being good, it will be any benefit for Russia ...

After the decisions of Donald Trump, China and Russia will henceforth have access to the "NATO" sea of ​​the Mediterranean, which remains under NATO surveillance, from Libya.

Iran, on the other hand, which has improved relations with Armenia, is no longer encircled and isolated because the bolt of Syria has just jumped this country no longer an obstacle. Iran will nevertheless have to manage the embargo initiated by the US alone.

But Iran has no border with Syria, will you say? It does not matter! Trade with Iran will pass through Turkey. In fact, Donald Trump spoke at length with the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, a few hours before the famous tweet of December 23rd. It was at this point that the two leaders agreed to "agree to coordinate military, diplomats and other leaders of their countries to avoid a power vacuum that could result from the exploitation of the withdrawal. (2000 US soldiers) and the transition phase in Syria. Since then Turkey has been transporting military units (cannons, artillery batteries) to the border, President Erdogan having assured Donald Trump "in very strong terms, that he will eradicate what remains of the IS (the state djhiadist) already largely defeated.

Since (Christmas-25/12) Erdogan even invited Donald Tromp to Ankara (in 2019) "to tighten their relations and coordinate the withdrawal". Turkey had not raised before it should be noted, no protest against the decision of Donald Trump, which could foreshadow difficult times for the Kurdish minority, which has always fought loyally alongside the coalition. For them and for humanitarian reasons it will be necessary for the international community to watch! Very seriously!

But it is fair to learn that Kurdish fighters have appealed for help to the Syrian regime, revealing an unexpected reversal of alliance after years of ambiguous relations with Damascus. Bashar el Assad has just accepted this extended hand by reinforcing his troops around the city of Manbij located north-east of Aleppo, near the Turkish border.

But there are those who do not win the turn of the American Empire, and who have just lost their hegemonic situation in the Middle East, like Israel and its Prime Minister, "Bibi" (Benjamin) Netanyahu which, however, in an exacerbated political context, had nevertheless obtained a few months ago that the United States Embassy was closed in Tel Aviv and transferred to Jerusalem.

This was obviously necessary for Benjamin Netanyahu to save his head after many years of authoritarian rule when he did not move the peace process with the Palestinians with one inch ("Gaza is an open prison "once said Nicolas Sarkozy, unlikely to sympathize anti-Israel), and at the same time let the religious flourish and settlements unfold, all these options going against the general and national interests of the country (Israel has the highest poverty rate among developed countries).

Yet, if the pipeline from Kazakhstan were to be extended to Ashdod, an Israeli port on the Mediterranean coast, Israel could become less dependent on the Gulf countries and Saudi Arabia, which it has recently come closer to? The Israeli Prime Minister had to think about it?

Donald Trump has just revealed the new US geostrategy. We have confirmation that the US president no longer wants the US is still the world's policeman. "America first" order! Words now make sense. Donald Trump seems to have also demonstrated that he is a man of peace?

We saw before our eyes a blow of billiard with 4 or 5 bands, masterly!

But at this point will you tell me where are the interests of Donald Trump and America?

Concurrently, this unexpected decision by Donald Trump highlighted more than ever the failings of the American-Zionist complex, which proved powerless for decades, but which was supported so eagerly by Hillary Clinton during the presidential campaign.

The war that justified all wars has just been explained, suddenly and limpidement, and that does not militate in favor of Barack Obama and his camp. The camp of the Democrats who just imposed the "shut down" during the budget debate does not grow out at the end of this presentation. Peace in the Middle East is Donald Trump who could impose it!

But after the US withdrawal from Syria, many things will have to change and new principles emerge.

The Sino-Russian project backed up by Donald Trump's recent decisions should not break Israel. This is an important point, validated by China and Russia, which, by letting the Syrian link relax, will allow the US to implement another regional policy.

For it will be imperative to seek to rebalance trade relations in this sector, and beyond with the Far East.

The last piece of the puzzle that Donald Trump holds for it in his hands will most certainly be on the Straits of Ormuz, owned by Iran but around which permanently patrol the US warships that are still Iranian hostages. Iran has a window (border) on the Persian Gulf (or Arabian Sea) north of the Strait of Hormuz. This sea connects Iran to the Gulf countries where, as the British said, only the Iraq / Iran / Yemen triangle is capable of protecting oil.

However, since September 2014, under the guise of a religious war (Sunni against Shiites backed by Iran) which is in fact only a regional war of an economic nature, Yemen is engaged in a merciless conflict against the country. Saudi Arabia has savagely attacked and wants the attachment of this small state located south of the Arabian Peninsula. We understand why!

Both Saudi Arabia and Iran both wanted to control the area so far and financed the various belligerents engaged in a civil war where all the horrors were allowed. Having obtained the one and the other satisfaction as for the respect of their own interests, they will have to put an end to the sounds of boots and the din of the guns.

Moreover, we can better understand, through this geopolitical description, the why of the severe lesson administered by Donald Trump to the young Prince Mohamed Ben Salman following the Khashoggi affair. This case was a mess; the entire international community denounced the violent and inhumane behavior committed by Saudi Arabia in Yemen. It might hinder the implementation of the political project of the President of the United States. Saudi Arabia will now be forced to return weapons very quickly!

While visiting the US troops still stationed in Iraq, Donald Trump was right to make politics in his speech, if only to make his geostrategic project understood and emphasize that "the mission (his) had been accomplished" The US President has confirmed that he no longer wants, but really more than the US is still the world's policeman. "America first" order! Words come to make sense. On the other hand, one understands at the same time that Europe has been left to its fate (sad), all frontiers open, and it is not the critics "on the disloyalty of the US vis-à-vis its allies" that held Emmanuel Macron from Chad where he was at the same time that will change anything. Europe will be tomorrow alone facing her destiny.

The war is over in Syria but it may start in the Gulf where Donald Trump will have to secure the oil supplies of America and the West, without relying on the "Sheikhs" but while relying on the Iraq where US troops are still stationing. The new geostrategic challenges of the US will be in "this smallest part" of the world now. Let's hope that the sense of negotiation that Donald Trump seems to be showing will help him to avoid the resumption of arms in this part of the world.